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Tap players to put them in or take them out. Your chance of winning updates as you go.

Week 16

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The 16 games in week 16 — check us against your TV guide

Thu, Dec 24

HOU vs PHI

Fri, Dec 25

BUF vs DEN · CHI vs GB · LAR vs SEA

Sun, Dec 27

ARI vs NO · ATL vs TB · BAL vs CLE · CAR vs PIT · CIN vs IND · DAL vs JAX · KC vs SF · LAC vs MIA · LV vs TEN · MIN vs WAS · NE vs NYJ

Mon, Dec 28

DET vs NYG

These come from the same data as every number on this page. If a game here doesn’t match the real schedule, don’t trust this week’s numbers — and tell whoever runs this site.

44%

chance of winning this week

You’d usually score about 127. A typical opponent scores about 132.

Why 44%

You project about 127 against a typical team's 132 — about 5 points behind, which is what is holding this number down.
Josh Allen carries the most of it at 19 points against DEN. A quiet game from him moves this more than anyone else.
Jayden Reed v CHI has one of the softest matchups in the league this week.
James Cook v DEN faces one of the toughest defenses against his position.
Realistically you land anywhere between 99 and 156. That spread — not the projection — is why this is 44% and not a certainty.

Tap to add or remove — the number is projected points