Test a lineup

Tap players to put them in or take them out. Your chance of winning updates as you go.

Week 4

The 16 games in week 4 — check us against your TV guide

Thu, Oct 1

CLE vs PIT

Sun, Oct 4

ARI vs NYG · BAL vs TEN · BUF vs NE · CAR vs DET · CHI vs NYJ · CIN vs JAX · DAL vs HOU · DEN vs SF · GB vs TB · IND vs WAS · KC vs LV · LAC vs SEA · LAR vs PHI · MIA vs MIN

Mon, Oct 5

ATL vs NO

These come from the same data as every number on this page. If a game here doesn’t match the real schedule, don’t trust this week’s numbers — and tell whoever runs this site.

56%

chance of winning this week

You’d usually score about 137. A typical opponent scores about 132.

Why 56%

You project about 137 against a typical team's 132. A 5-point edge helps, but it is not a cushion.
Josh Allen carries the most of it at 25 points against NE. A quiet game from him moves this more than anyone else.
Kyle Monangai v NYJ and Tetairoa McMillan v DET have one of the softest matchups in the league this week.
James Cook v NE and CeeDee Lamb v HOU face one of the toughest defenses against their position.
Realistically you land anywhere between 108 and 167. That spread — not the projection — is why this is 56% and not a certainty.

Tap to add or remove — the number is projected points